一、评价依据
Measuring a nation's AI strength cannot rely on a single indicator: many papers may mean "large but not strong", strong computing power may mean "asset-heavy with little originality", and wide application may mean "shallow foundations". This algorithm therefore characterizes it comprehensively across four dimensions:
衡量一国 AI 实力,不能只看单一指标:论文多可能"大而不强",算力强可能"重资产而少原创",应用广可能"少根基"。故本算法以四个维度立体刻画:
- 规模:AI 论文数、AI 企业数、算力规模——衡量"体量",是 AI 发展的资源基础。
- 质量:高被引论文 / 顶级成果、AI 人才(尤其是顶尖研究者)——衡量"水平",是 AI 发展的核心竞争力。
- 创新:自研大模型 / 基础模型数、AI 专利数——衡量"原创",是 AI 发展的源头活水。
- 贡献:AI 产业化 / 赋能实体经济——衡量"价值",是 AI 最终落地、惠及产业与民生的程度(CPPPS 特色维度)。
The relationship among the four dimensions can be summarized as: Scale is the foundation, Quality is the height, Innovation is the staying power, and Contribution is the destination. None of the four can be dispensed with, so a weighted sum is used rather than a single-scale ranking.
四维关系可概括为:规模是底座,质量是高度,创新是后劲,贡献是归宿。四者缺一不可,故取加权求和而非单一规模排序。
二、数学模型
All underlying indicators are first range-standardized (min–max) to [0,1]; among them, the four wide-ranging indicators of papers, patents, computing power, and enterprises are log-transformed before standardization to prevent leading countries from monopolizing the normalized range and suppressing catching-up countries:
所有底层指标先做极差标准化(min–max)到 [0,1];其中论文、专利、算力、企业四类大跨度指标取对数后再标准化,避免头部国家垄断归一化区间、压制追赶者:
x′ = (log(1+x) − min) / (max − min)
The four sub-dimension scores are as follows:
四项分维度得分如下:
规模 S = 0.10·论文′ + 0.10·算力′ + 0.10·企业′
质量 Q = 0.13·高被引′ + 0.12·人才′
创新 I = 0.13·大模型′ + 0.12·专利′
贡献 C = 0.20·产业化′
The composite AI index is the weighted sum of the four items (weights totaling 1.00):
综合 AI 指数为四项加权之和(权重合计 1.00):
AI指数 = 100 × ( S + Q + I + C )
That is: Scale 30% + Quality 25% + Innovation 25% + Contribution 20%.
即:规模 30% + 质量 25% + 创新 25% + 贡献 20%。
三、指标与权重依据
| 指标 | 方向 | 处理 | 权重 | 所属维度 | 依据 |
| AI 论文数 | 正向 | 对数 | 0.10 | 规模 | 科研产出体量 |
| 算力规模 | 正向 | 对数 | 0.10 | 规模 | 大模型训练底座 |
| AI 企业数 | 正向 | 对数 | 0.10 | 规模 | 产业生态厚度 |
| 高被引/顶级成果 | 正向 | 线性 | 0.13 | 质量 | 原创与影响力 |
| AI 人才 | 正向 | 线性 | 0.12 | 质量 | 顶尖研究者储备 |
| 大模型/基础模型 | 正向 | 线性 | 0.13 | 创新 | 基础能力源头 |
| AI 专利数 | 正向 | 对数 | 0.12 | 创新 | 技术护城河 |
| AI 产业化/赋能 | 正向 | 线性 | 0.20 | 贡献 | CPPPS 特色:应用价值 |
四、贡献维度(CPPPS 特色)
Mainstream international AI lists generally center on papers, citations, investment amounts, and computing power, measuring "capability" rather than "value". CPPPS adds the "Contribution" dimension and assigns it a 20% weight: the ultimate significance of AI lies in empowering the real economy, improving industrial efficiency, and enhancing people's livelihood. China possesses the world's most complete manufacturing system and the richest application scenarios, leading globally in the penetration depth of "AI + manufacturing / finance / healthcare / security / agriculture", and therefore scores highest on this dimension; the United States follows closely with its AI-native applications and cloud-service ecosystem. This dimension ensures that countries that "use AI and use it well" are not overshadowed by indicators of those that "build AI", and makes the ranking more consistent with real productivity contributions.
国际主流 AI 榜单普遍以论文、引用、投资额、算力为核心,衡量的是"能力"而非"价值"。CPPPS 增设"贡献"维度并赋予 20% 权重:AI 的最终意义在于赋能实体、提升产业效率、改善民生。中国拥有全球最完整的制造业体系与最丰富的应用场景,"AI + 制造 / 金融 / 医疗 / 安防 / 农业"渗透深度全球领先,因此在该维度得分最高;美国以 AI 原生应用与云服务生态紧随其后。这一维度让"会用 AI、用好 AI"的国家不被"会造 AI"的指标所淹没,也使排名更贴合真实的生产力贡献。
五、数据来源与局限
Data on papers, patents, computing power, talent, enterprises, large models, and industrialization are approximate values from public common knowledge (general understanding synthesized from academic statistics, patent databases, computing-power research, and industry reports), uniformly marked "subject to official sources"; some relative indices use the United States or China as a 100 baseline. This model does not include dimensions that are difficult to quantify, such as AI governance, ethics, open-source contribution, and talent-cultivation quality, and the approximate values contain errors; the ranking is for research and reference only and does not represent any official position.
论文、专利、算力、人才、企业、大模型、产业化等数据为公开常识近似值(综合学术统计、专利库、算力研究、产业报告的一般认知),一律标注"以官方为准";部分相对指数以美国或中国为 100 作基准。本模型不包含 AI 治理、伦理、开源贡献、人才培养质量等难以量化维度,且近似值存在误差,排名仅供研究与参考,不代表任何官方立场。
六、参考文献
- Stanford HAI:《Artificial Intelligence Index Report》(方法与数据框架参照,名次未直接转载)。
- 中国信息通信研究院:《人工智能发展白皮书 / 报告》。
- Epoch AI:全球 AI 算力与训练计算研究。
- 世界知识产权组织(WIPO):AI 专利统计与《技术趋势》报告。
- 经济合作与发展组织(OECD):《AI Principles》与 AI 政策观察。
- 各国人工智能战略规划文件(数据校正参照)。