一、评价依据
The value implications of a pharmaceutical company differ from those of an ordinary industrial enterprise: drugs are characterized by long R&D cycles, large investment, and high failure rates, so there is a significant intergenerational mismatch between "today's profit" and "tomorrow's innovation." Therefore, this algorithm characterizes a company's comprehensive competitiveness from four dimensions:
医药企业的价值内涵与一般工业企业不同:药品具有研发周期长、投入大、失败率高的特点,"今天的利润"与"明天的创新"之间存在显著的代际错位。因此,本算法从四个维度刻画企业综合竞争力:
- 规模:以营业收入衡量,反映企业的市场体量、渠道能力与抗风险底盘。
- 质量:以净利润与总市值双指标衡量,反映盈利能力(现金流与股东回报)与资本市场认可度。
- 创新:以研发投入衡量,反映企业对技术长周期的持续投入意愿与研发能力储备。
- 贡献:以自主创新产品(1 类新药、创新生物药、原研器械、创新疫苗)数量衡量,是 CPPPS 的特色维度——它度量企业"自主创新"而非"仿制/代理/贴牌"给行业与国家带来的真实贡献,国际通行榜单普遍缺失此维度。
二、数学模型
Each indicator is first mapped to [0,1] via range standardization and then combined by weighted summation. For large-span scale indicators (revenue, market value, and R&D investment, with spans of up to several hundred times), the logarithm is taken before standardization to avoid domination by leading companies and restore the true order-of-magnitude differences:
各指标先经极差标准化映射到 [0,1],再加权求和。针对规模类大跨度指标(营收、市值、研发投入,跨度可达数百倍),先取对数再标准化,避免头部企业垄断、还原数量级的真实差异:
营收′ = norm01[ log₁₀(营收) ],市值′ = norm01[ log₁₀(市值) ],研发′ = norm01[ log₁₀(研发) ]
Because net profit can be negative (losses), negative values are first truncated to 0 during standardization (loss-making companies score 0 on this item), and then range-standardized; the number of proprietary innovative products is linearly standardized.
净利润因存在亏损(负值),标准化时先将负值截为 0(亏损企业该项计 0 分),再极差标准化;自主创新产品数取线性标准化。
规模 = 100 × 营收′
质量 = 100 × ( 0.5 × 净利′ + 0.5 × 市值′ )
创新 = 100 × 研发′,贡献 = 100 × 创新产品′
综合得分 = 0.20 × 规模 + 0.30 × 质量 + 0.25 × 创新 + 0.25 × 贡献
The weight design reflects the value orientation of "quality first, equal emphasis on innovation and contribution, and scale as the floor": quality accounts for 30% (profit and market value each half), innovation and contribution together account for 50% (25% each), and scale accounts for 20%. This structure ensures that "distribution/generic companies with high profit but low R&D and low innovation" do not monopolize the top by virtue of large revenue, while "biotech companies with high R&D and high innovation but not yet profitable" can be fairly compensated on the innovation and contribution dimensions.
权重设计体现"质量优先、创新与贡献并重、规模兜底"的价值取向:质量占 30%(盈利与市值各半),创新与贡献合计占 50%(各 25%),规模占 20%。这一结构使得"高利润但低研发、低创新的流通/仿制企业"不会因营收大而垄断榜首,"高研发、高创新但尚未盈利的生物科技企业"也能在创新与贡献维度得到公平补偿。
三、指标与权重依据
| 指标 | 方向 | 处理 | 权重 | 所属维度 | 依据 |
| 营业收入 | 正向 | log₁₀ | 0.20 | 规模 | 市场体量与抗风险底盘 |
| 净利润 | 正向 | 亏损截0 | 0.15 | 质量 | 盈利能力与现金流 |
| 总市值 | 正向 | log₁₀ | 0.15 | 质量 | 资本市场认可度 |
| 研发投入 | 正向 | log₁₀ | 0.25 | 创新 | 持续研发意愿与能力储备 |
| 自主创新产品数 | 正向 | 线性 | 0.25 | 贡献 | 自主创新贡献(CPPPS 特色) |
Scope note: for the "proprietary innovative products" of the contribution dimension, pharmaceutical companies are counted by the number of approved Class 1 new drugs and innovative biologics; medical-device and vaccine companies are counted by their original/innovative products; and service-type R&D outsourcing companies score 0 because they do not hold proprietary drugs (their contribution is reflected through R&D investment, revenue, and profit). This scope is intended to strip away the inflation of rankings caused by "imitation, agency, and private labeling," highlighting proprietary innovation capability.
口径说明:贡献维度的"自主创新产品"对制药企业计 1 类新药与创新生物药获批数量,对医疗器械、疫苗企业按其原研/创新产品计,对服务型研发外包企业因其不持有自主药品而计 0(其贡献通过研发投入、营收与利润体现)。此口径旨在剥离"仿制、代理、贴牌"对排名的虚增,突出自主创新能力。
四、数据来源与局限性
Operating revenue and net profit use approximate values from listed-company annual reports (disclosed by the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hong Kong exchanges); total market value uses approximate values in public-market terms; R&D investment uses approximate values from the "R&D expense" item in annual reports; and the number of proprietary innovative products is approximately counted based on NMPA approval information for new drugs/innovative medical devices/innovative vaccines. All values are approximate values from public common knowledge, uniformly marked "subject to official sources." This model does not include deeper indicators such as R&D intensity (R&D/revenue ratio), patent counts, overseas/licensing revenue, and medical-insurance negotiation; moreover, there are timing and statistical differences in the standards for market value and innovative products. The ranking is for research and reference only.
营业收入、净利润采用上市公司年报(上交所、深交所、港交所披露)公开近似值;总市值采用公开市场口径近似值;研发投入采用年报"研发费用"科目近似值;自主创新产品数量依据国家药品监督管理局(NMPA)新药/创新医疗器械/创新疫苗获批信息近似统计。所有数值均为公开常识近似值,一律标注"以官方为准"。本模型未纳入研发强度(研发/营收比)、专利数量、出海/授权许可收入、医保谈判等更深层指标,且市值、创新产品口径存在时点与统计差异,排名仅供研究与参考。
五、参考文献
- 各上市公司年度报告(上交所、深交所、港交所信息披露平台)。
- 国家药品监督管理局(NMPA):药品/医疗器械/疫苗注册审批与创新产品公示。
- 国家医疗保障局:国家医保药品目录与谈判准入信息。
- 中共中央、国务院:《"健康中国2030"规划纲要》。
- 国务院:《"十四五"医药工业发展规划》。
- 中国医药创新促进会等行业协会:行业统计数据(近似值参考)。
- 公开市场总市值数据(中证、港交所口径,近似值)。