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软实力指数Soft Power Index

CPPPS 自有四维算法(规模 + 质量 + 创新 + 贡献) · 排名更新日期:2026-10-20

综述Overview

Soft power is a core international-relations concept proposed by Joseph Nye, referring to a country's ability to make other countries "aspire to follow it and follow voluntarily" through the attractiveness of its culture and values, the legitimacy of its political institutions and policies, and the persuasive appeal of its diplomacy and discourse, rather than achieving its goals through coercion or inducement. Beyond hard power (military and economic), soft power determines a country's deep influence—"getting others to want what you want"—and serves as a long-term, flexible and sustainable source of strength in great-power competition.
软实力(Soft Power)是约瑟夫·奈提出的核心国际关系概念,指一国通过文化与价值观的吸引力、政治制度与政策的正当性、外交与话语的感召力,使别国"心向往之、自愿追随",而非通过强制或收买达成目的的能力。在硬实力(军事、经济)之外,软实力决定了一个国家"让别人想你所想"的深层影响力,是大国博弈中长期、柔性、可持续的力量来源。
However, soft power is highly abstract and difficult to quantify. Existing soft power rankings published by international consulting agencies mostly rely on large-scale cross-national questionnaire sampling, and their sample representativeness, indicator caliber and weight settings are all opaque, with a notable Western-centric bias. This index is independently compiled by CPPPS using its own algorithm and does not directly reproduce any existing soft power ranking; instead, it computes its own score from underlying public data such as the scale of cultural exports, economic volume, the number of language speakers, education quality, cultural influence, diplomatic networks, cultural innovation, digital culture, contributions to global public goods, and people-to-people exchanges, striving to deliver an independent, reproducible and balanced evaluation.
然而,软实力高度抽象、难以量化。现有国际咨询机构发布的软实力榜单多依赖大规模跨国问卷抽样,其样本代表性、指标口径与权重设定均不透明,且存在显著的西方中心倾向。本指数由 CPPPS 自有算法独立编制,不直接转载任何现有软实力榜单名次,而以文化输出规模、经济体量、语言使用人数、教育质量、文化影响力、外交网络、文化创新、数字文化、全球公共产品贡献、人文交流等底层公开数据自行计算,力求给出独立、可复现、权责对称的评价。
The CPPPS Soft Power Index follows a unified four-dimensional framework: Scale (scale of cultural exports, economic volume, number of language speakers) measures the material and demographic foundation of soft-power radiation; Quality (education quality, cultural influence, diplomatic networks) measures the depth, historical thickness and institutional legitimacy of soft power and carries the highest weight; Innovation (cultural innovation, digital culture) measures the contemporary momentum of soft power—the overseas export of cultural products and content innovation in the digital age; and Contribution (contributions to global public goods, people-to-people exchanges) is a distinctive CPPPS dimension measuring a country's supply of public goods for global governance, development assistance, climate and public health, as well as people-to-people connectivity represented by Belt and Road cultural exchanges. The four dimensions are range-standardized to [0,1] and then weighted and summed, with large-span scale indicators taken in logarithmic form.
CPPPS 软实力指数遵循统一四维框架:规模(文化输出规模、经济体量、语言使用人数)衡量软实力辐射的物质与人口基础;质量(教育质量、文化影响力、外交网络)衡量软实力的深度、历史厚度与制度正当性,权重最高;创新(文化创新、数字文化)衡量软实力的当代动能——数字时代的文化产品出海与内容创新;贡献(全球公共产品贡献、人文交流)是 CPPPS 特色维度,衡量一国对全球治理、发展援助、气候与公共卫生等公共产品的供给,以及以一带一路人文交流为代表的民心相通建设。四维极差标准化至 [0,1] 后加权求和,规模类大跨度指标取对数。
Evaluation results: the United States, the United Kingdom, China, France and Japan rank in the top five; the United States, the United Kingdom, China, France, Japan, Germany, South Korea, Italy, Spain and Canada make up the top ten. Overall, economies with a large economic and cultural scale, high education quality, deep cultural influence, extensive diplomatic networks and outstanding contributions to public goods rank ahead. It is worth noting that the largest economy does not necessarily achieve the highest composite score—in this algorithm "Quality" carries the highest weight (0.40), so countries with a shallow historical and civilizational heritage and insufficient educational and cultural influence are pulled down even if their economic volume is huge; while smaller countries such as the Nordics can still rank near the top by virtue of outstanding education quality and contributions to global public goods. This is precisely the core of how CPPPS's proprietary algorithm differs from "scale-centrism". The ranking data are based on publicly known approximate values (marked "subject to official figures"), are permanently free and public, and are provided for research and reference only.
评价结果:美国、英国、中国、法国、日本 位列前五,美国、英国、中国、法国、日本、德国、韩国、意大利、西班牙、加拿大 位居前十。整体看,经济与文化规模庞大、教育质量高、文化影响力深厚、外交网络广布且公共产品贡献突出的经济体居前。值得注意的是,规模最大者未必综合得分最高——本算法中"质量"权重最高(0.40),历史文明积淀浅、教育与文化影响力不足的国家即便经济体量庞大也会被拉低;而北欧等规模较小的国家凭借突出的教育质量与全球公共产品贡献亦能名列前茅,这正是 CPPPS 自有算法区别于"唯规模论"的核心所在。本排名数据以公开常识近似值为准(标注"以官方为准"),永久免费公开,仅供研究与参考。

分层梯队Tiers

第一梯队Tier 1 前三Top 3 第二梯队Tier 2 四至十4th–10th 第三梯队Tier 3 十一至二十11th–20th 第四梯队Tier 4 其余Rest

全球约 30 国软实力指数排名Soft Power Index Ranking of about 30 Countries

排名国家软实力得分规模质量创新贡献梯队
1美国United States95.85100.0100.0100.079.2第一梯队
2英国United Kingdom84.4481.389.777.483.3第一梯队
3中国China79.3281.880.079.574.8第一梯队
4法国France73.0265.778.166.976.5第二梯队
5日本Japan72.0768.373.681.566.7第二梯队
6德国Germany67.6152.674.857.079.8第二梯队
7韩国South Korea61.0259.357.385.552.2第二梯队
8意大利Italy53.3650.962.045.045.5第二梯队
9西班牙Spain52.0359.155.136.748.6第二梯队
10加拿大Canada49.1839.650.639.165.9第二梯队
11俄罗斯Russia44.5647.859.022.728.0第三梯队
12印度India43.6260.047.635.621.2第三梯队
13瑞典Sweden42.7719.145.058.656.0第三梯队
14荷兰Netherlands41.8623.547.645.850.5第三梯队
15澳大利亚Australia41.632.743.532.555.9第三梯队
16瑞士Switzerland36.7912.249.932.744.3第三梯队
17土耳其Turkey30.9341.529.324.425.9第三梯队
18挪威Norway30.247.837.513.856.2第三梯队
19巴西Brazil27.9545.624.426.014.5第三梯队
20墨西哥Mexico26.7744.822.321.217.4第三梯队
21新加坡Singapore25.7415.434.532.516.0第四梯队
22埃及Egypt23.4228.833.16.510.1第四梯队
23沙特阿拉伯Saudi Arabia23.0627.528.45.619.9第四梯队
24希腊Greece20.239.531.22.525.1第四梯队
25葡萄牙Portugal19.4818.421.58.125.3第四梯队
26波兰Poland18.4919.222.19.717.0第四梯队
27泰国Thailand15.0325.59.811.415.1第四梯队
28阿联酋United Arab Emirates14.7314.812.112.122.0第四梯队
29印度尼西亚Indonesia13.3930.710.410.40.0第四梯队
30南非South Africa6.5513.86.20.03.1第四梯队

算法详细论述Methodology

一、评价依据

The essence of soft power is a country's ability to win the recognition and following of other countries "through attraction rather than coercion". CPPPS decomposes this into four measurable dimensions:
软实力的本质,是一国"以吸引力而非强制力"获得他国认同与追随的能力。CPPPS 将其分解为四个可测度的维度:
  1. 规模(辐射的物质与人口基础):文化输出规模衡量影视、音乐、出版、语言学习等文化产品走向全球的体量;经济体量衡量支撑文化输出与公共产品供给的资源能力;语言使用人数衡量该国语言作为信息与观念载体的全球覆盖面。GDP 与语言为大跨度指标,取对数避免头部垄断。
  2. 质量(深度、厚度与制度正当性):教育质量衡量该国高等教育与人才培养的全球声誉;文化影响力衡量历史文明积淀、世界遗产、思想与科学贡献、全球品牌的美誉度;外交网络衡量驻外使领馆密度与多边外交的制度在场。质量是软实力的核心,权重最高。
  3. 创新(当代动能):文化创新衡量创意产业、设计、时尚、影视叙事的创新能力;数字文化衡量流媒体、游戏、社交内容、数字文化产品出海的能力——数字时代文化输出的新战场。
  4. 贡献(CPPPS 特色维度):全球公共产品贡献衡量一国对发展援助、气候融资、联合国出资与维和、全球公共卫生、人道援助的供给;人文交流衡量留学生、旅游、文化交流与一带一路人文交流等民心相通建设。贡献度高者"得道多助",其软实力因利他而增值。

二、数学模型

Each indicator is range-standardized to [0,1]; large-span scale indicators first take the natural logarithm and are then standardized; the four dimensions are then weighted and summed:
各指标经极差标准化至 [0,1],规模类大跨度指标先取自然对数再标准化,四维加权求和:
规模 S = 0.45·文化输出′ + 0.30·ln(GDP)′ + 0.25·ln(语言)′ 质量 Q = 0.40·教育′ + 0.40·文化影响力′ + 0.20·外交网络′ 创新 I = 0.50·文化创新′ + 0.50·数字文化′ 贡献 C = 0.50·全球公共产品′ + 0.50·人文交流′ 综合得分 = 100 × (0.25·S + 0.40·Q + 0.15·I + 0.20·C)
Here 「′」 denotes the [0,1] value after range standardization. Because the four dimensions are highly orthogonal (an economy with a large scale does not necessarily have high quality, and an economy with high contribution does not necessarily have a large scale), any economy's composite score has a natural upper bound; the ranking is therefore presented in descending order of composite score, layered into tiers (first to fourth), with no ordering implied within the same tier.
其中「′」表示极差标准化后的 [0,1] 值。由于四个维度高度正交(规模大的经济体质量未必高、贡献高的经济体规模未必大),任一经济体的综合得分天然存在上限,故排名按综合得分降序呈现,并以梯队(第一至第四)分层、同梯队内不设先后。

三、指标与权重依据

维度指标方向权重依据
规模文化输出规模正向0.25×0.45文化产品全球传播的体量
规模名义 GDP(对数)正向0.25×0.30支撑文化输出与公共产品的资源能力
规模语言使用人数(对数)正向0.25×0.25语言是观念载体的全球覆盖面
质量教育质量正向0.40×0.40高等教育声誉与人才吸引力
质量文化影响力正向0.40×0.40文明积淀、遗产、思想与品牌美誉度
质量外交网络正向0.40×0.20驻外使领馆与多边外交的制度在场
创新文化创新正向0.15×0.50创意产业与内容创新动能
创新数字文化正向0.15×0.50流媒体/游戏/数字内容出海能力
贡献全球公共产品贡献正向0.20×0.50CPPPS 特色:利他而增值的国际信誉
贡献人文交流正向0.20×0.50CPPPS 特色:民心相通与一带一路人文交流
Basis for the weight design: the core of soft power is "attraction and recognition", whose primary carriers are the quality of culture and institutions, so Quality carries the highest weight (0.40); Scale provides the foundation for radiation, but "large without being good" does not equate to persuasive appeal, so it accounts for only 0.25 and is taken in logarithmic form; the Contribution dimension (0.20) and Innovation dimension (0.15) are CPPPS extensions to the traditional soft-power framework—replacing mere "reputation" with "contribution" and responding to the digital age with "digital culture", so as to avoid a Western-centric, questionnaire-based evaluation.
权重设计依据:软实力的核心是"吸引力与认同",其载体首先是文化与制度的质量,故质量权重最高(0.40);规模提供辐射基础但"大而不善"不等于有感召力,故仅占 0.25 且取对数;贡献维度(0.20)与创新维度(0.15)是 CPPPS 对传统软实力框架的扩展——以"贡献"替代单纯"声誉",以"数字文化"回应数字时代,避免西方中心的问卷式评价。

四、与现有软实力榜单的区别(为何不直接转载)

This index does not reproduce the soft-power rankings of any international consulting agency but builds its own model, for three reasons. First, the sample representativeness, indicator caliber and weight settings of questionnaire-based rankings are opaque and carry a notable Western-centric bias, often overestimating Western countries and underestimating the cultural and governance appeal of emerging economies. Second, such evaluations emphasize subjective scoring of "reputation and image" and lack objective measurement of contributions and people-to-people exchanges. Third, they almost never incorporate dimensions such as "contributions to global public goods" and "Belt and Road people-to-people exchanges", and therefore cannot reflect the responsibility of emerging economies for global governance and people-to-people connectivity. The CPPPS algorithm takes quality as its core, contribution as its distinguishing feature, and digital culture as its response to the times, striving to be independent, reproducible and balanced.
本指数不转载任何国际咨询机构的软实力榜单名次,而自建模型,原因有三:其一,问卷式榜单的样本代表性、指标口径与权重设定不透明,且存在显著西方中心倾向,往往高估西方国家、低估新兴经济体的文化与治理吸引力;其二,其评价侧重"声誉与形象"的主观打分,缺乏对贡献与人文交流的客观衡量;其三,几乎不纳入"全球公共产品贡献"与"一带一路人文交流"等维度,无法体现新兴经济体对全球治理与民心相通的责任担当。CPPPS 算法以质量为核心、以贡献为特色、以数字文化回应时代,力求独立、可复现、权责对称。

五、数据来源与局限性

Economic volume uses public data from the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank; the number of language speakers uses approximate native-plus-second-language figures from Ethnologue and national statistics (cross-nationally shared languages are attributed by their center of gravity of use, hence approximate); education quality, cultural influence, cultural innovation, digital culture, contributions to global public goods, and people-to-people exchanges are CPPPS composite estimates (0–100) based on public data, referring respectively to public world-university-ranking data, the UNESCO World Heritage List and Creative Cities Network, creative-industry statistics, digital-content export statistics, OECD official development assistance (ODA) and UN peacekeeping/climate/health funding statistics, and public data on international students, tourism and Belt and Road people-to-people exchanges. All are publicly known approximate values (around 2025), uniformly marked "subject to official figures". Limitations: soft power is inherently subjective, and any quantification is approximate; the 0–100 composite indicators are subjective syntheses with limited precision; the attribution of shared languages and the "subject to official figures" approximate values contain errors. This ranking is provided for research and reference only.
经济体量采用国际货币基金组织与世界银行的公开数据;语言使用人数采用 Ethnologue 及各国统计的母语+二语近似值(跨国共享语言按使用重心归口,存在近似);教育质量、文化影响力、文化创新、数字文化、全球公共产品贡献、人文交流为 CPPPS 基于公开数据的综合估算(0-100),分别参考世界大学排名公开数据、UNESCO 世界遗产名录与创意城市网络、创意产业统计、数字内容出海统计、OECD 官方发展援助(ODA)与联合国维和/气候/卫生出资统计、留学生与旅游及一带一路人文交流公开数据。全部为公开常识近似值(2025 年前后),一律标注"以官方为准"。局限:软实力本质带有主观性,任何量化都是近似;0-100 综合指标为主观合成,精度有限;语言共享归口与"以官方为准"的近似值存在误差。本排名仅供研究与参考。

六、参考文献

  1. 约瑟夫·奈(Joseph S. Nye):《注定领导》(Bound to Lead, 1990)、《软实力》(Soft Power, 2004)——软实力理论奠基。
  2. 国际货币基金组织(IMF):《World Economic Outlook》数据库。
  3. 世界银行(World Bank):World Development Indicators(WDI)。
  4. 联合国教科文组织(UNESCO):世界遗产名录、创意城市网络。
  5. 经济合作与发展组织(OECD):Development Co-operation Report、DAC 官方发展援助统计。
  6. 联合国:会费分摊、维和行动、气候与全球卫生出资统计。
  7. Ethnologue:世界语言使用者统计。
  8. 世界大学排名公开数据(软科、QS、泰晤士高等教育)——仅作参照。
  9. 共建"一带一路"人文交流公开资料。

说明Notes

本版采用 CPPPS 自有四维算法(规模 + 质量 + 创新 + 贡献),不直接转载任何国际咨询机构的软实力榜单:①规模 S=0.45·文化输出+0.30·ln(GDP)+0.25·ln(语言),大跨度指标取对数;②质量 Q=0.40·教育+0.40·文化影响力+0.20·外交网络,权重最高(0.40),体现"质量>规模";③创新 I=0.50·文化创新+0.50·数字文化;④贡献 C=0.50·全球公共产品+0.50·人文交流(CPPPS 特色,含一带一路人文交流)。综合得分=100×(0.25S+0.40Q+0.15I+0.20C),按得分降序排名并以第一至第四梯队分层、同梯队内不设先后。数据为公开常识近似值(IMF、世界银行、UNESCO、OECD DAC、Ethnologue、联合国统计),一律标注"以官方为准"。排名永久免费公开,永不卖榜。
This edition adopts the CPPPS proprietary four-dimension algorithm (scale + quality + innovation + contribution), and does not directly reproduce public military-strength rankings such as Global Firepower: ① Scale S=0.60·ln(military expenditure)+0.40·ln(troop strength), with wide-span indicators log-transformed; ② Quality Q=0.40·equipment level+0.35·modernization+0.25·nuclear capability, with the highest weight (0.35), reflecting "quality > quantity"; ③ Innovation I=military-industrial self-reliance (domestic equipment ratio); ④ Contribution C=national-defense self-reliance (CPPPS signature, emphasizing an independent defense industry not reliant on imports). Composite score = 100×(0.30S+0.35Q+0.20I+0.15C), divided into four tiers by rank. Data are public approximate values (SIPRI, IISS "The Military Balance", FAS, etc.), marked "subject to official figures". The ranking is permanently free and public, rankings are never sold, and it is for research and reference only.